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Monday, 09 November 2020 23:39

2020 Autonomous Vehicle Market Update

Written by Elana Ashanti Jefferson, PropertyCasualty360
Click to enlarge. In 2020, safety concerns and regulatory hurdles are putting the brakes on the mainstream adoption of autonomous vehicles. Click to enlarge. In 2020, safety concerns and regulatory hurdles are putting the brakes on the mainstream adoption of autonomous vehicles. Illustration by Shaw Nielsen from the November 2020 issue of NU Property & Casualty magazine

Index

...for insurers to develop coverage options for autonomous vehicles. Researchers predicted that 23 million fully autonomous vehicles will be traveling U.S. road and highways by 2035, a shift that could coincide with a $25 million drop in auto insurance premiums.

 

Less like humans, please

 

Driverless cars have been touted by proponents as the safest way to counter the many human errors that cause accidents. The Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, however, reports driverless vehicle technology that simply mimics human behavior will likely cause just as many crashes as people do.

 

IIHS researchers categorize the types of driver-related accidents as follows:

 

  • “Sensing and perceiving” errors included things like driver distraction, impeded visibility and failing to recognize hazards before it was too late.
  • “Predicting” errors occurred when drivers misjudged a gap in traffic, incorrectly estimated how fast another vehicle was going or made an incorrect assumption about what another road user was going to do.
  • “Planning and deciding” errors included driving too fast or too slow for the road conditions, driving aggressively or leaving too little following distance from the vehicle ahead.
  • “Execution and performance” errors included inadequate or incorrect evasive maneuvers, overcompensation and other mistakes in controlling the vehicle.
  • “Incapacitation” involved impairment due to alcohol or drug use, medical problems or falling asleep at the wheel.

 

IIHS concluded that the complex roles autonomous vehicles must perform paired with risks linked to vehicle-occupant preferences...


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